德尔菲法在潜艇舱室空气质量评价指标筛选中的应用
潜艇,,]潜艇；德尔菲法；空气质量；评价指标,1德尔菲法筛选潜艇舱室空气质量评价指标的主要步骤,2统计分析专家评分的主要函数,3专家评分统计分析结
[摘要]目的:确定潜艇舱室空气质量评价指标。方法：针对潜艇舱室中气体组分较多，相互间关系比较复杂，而且缺乏足够检测数据的特点，采用德尔菲法确定潜艇舱室空气质量的评价指标。结果：经2轮专家咨询后，选择14种气体组分(4种无机物，10种有机物)作为潜艇舱室空气质量评价指标。结论：应用德尔菲法选择的评价指标在潜艇舱室中浓度高，毒性大，对艇员健康和武器设备影响大，准确地反映了潜艇舱室空气污染现状。[关键词]潜艇；德尔菲法；空气质量；评价指标
Application of the Delphi method in screening assessment indexes of submarine cabin air quality
YUAN Haixia， WANG Nanping， SHI De
(Naval Medical Research Institute, Shanghai 200433，China)
Abstract: Objective：To select assessment indices of submarine cabin air quality. Methods：As there are a great many air pollutants in the submarine cabin, and there exists a complicated relationship among them, it is very difficult to select assessment indices. For this reason, the Delphi method was adopted to select assessment indices. Results: Following 2 rounds of expert consultation, 14 air components were selected as assessment indices of submarine cabin air quality. Conclusion: The assessment indices selected by using the Delphi method were those components in the submarine cabins with relatively high concentration and toxicity, which might pose a great threat to the health of submarine crew, and to the facilities and weapons as well. Therefore, the assessment indices may truly reflect the state of submarine cabin air pollution. ......
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