A forecasting pattern on patient rate of disease and nonbattle injury based on battle intensity

    JI Lin1, XU Lei2, WANG Xinª²Yu1

    1Department of Health Service, School of Preventive Medicine, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi¬ðan 710033, China, 2Institute of Health Service and Medical Information, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing 100850, China

    ¡¾Abstract¡¿ AIM: To explore a forecasting pattern to estimate the patient rate of disease and nonbattle injury (DNBI) related to the battle intensity. METHODS: The historical data of DNBI, selected from the assault on Okinawa, WW II, the Korean conflict, the Vietnam War and the Falklands conflict, were studied by the correlation analysis. RESULTS: A positive correlation between DNBI and battle intensity was found and a forecasting pattern on patient rate of DNBI based on battle intensity was established. CONCLUSION: The results are of use to studies on DNBI in our armed forces. ......