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Estrogen Receptor Gene Variation Is Associated With Risk of Myocardial Infarction in More Than Seven Thousand Men From Five Cohor
http://www.100md.com Amanda M. Shearman, Jackie A. Cooper, Pa
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     the Center for Cancer Research (A.M.S., D.E.H.), Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Mass

    Center for Cardiovascular Genetics (J.A.C., P.J.K., S.E.H.), Department of Medicine, Royal Free and University College London Medical School, Rayne Institute, United Kingdom

    Portex Anaesthesia, Intensive Therapy and Respiratory Medicine Unit (P.J.K.), Institute of Child Health, London, United Kingdom

    Medical Research Council Cardiovascular Research Group (G.J.M.), Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, London, United Kingdom

    Genomics Collaborative (K.G.A., B.J., K.I., K.L.L.), Cambridge, Mass

    Departments of Internal Medicine and Epidemiology & Biostatistics (S.C.E.S., A.G.U., H.A.P.P.), Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

    Department of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health (S.D., L.A.C.), Boston, Mass

    Tufts–New England Medical Center (M.E.M.), Boston, Mass

    the Framingham Heart Study of the National Heart, Lung

    Blood Institute (D.L.), Framingham, Mass.

    Abstract

    Understanding the mechanisms by which estrogens affect cardiovascular disease risk, including the role of variation in the gene for estrogen receptor (ESR1), may be key to new treatment strategies. We investigated whether the CC genotype at ESR1 c.454-397T>C is associated with increased risk among men. Study of more than 7000 whites in 5 cohorts from 4 countries provided evidence that genotype CC, present in roughly 20% of individuals, is a risk factor for nonfatal acute myocardial infarction (odds ratio=1.44; P<0.0001), after adjustment for established cardiovascular risk factors. After exclusion of younger subjects from 2 cohorts, because of age interaction, the odds ratio increased (to 1.63).

    Key Words: genetics myocardial infarction estrogen receptor risk factors

    In the Rotterdam Study, an estrogen receptor (ESR1) haplotype, including the ESR1 c.454-397 T allele, also referred to in previous studies as the p allele of the PvuII site in intron 1 (rs2234693), was associated with significantly increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) among postmenopausal women (for homozygous carriers, the relative risk was 2.48; the 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22 to 5.03 after adjusting for known cardiovascular risk factors).1 In men, however, no statistically significant association was found (relative risk, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.49 to 1.38). These results may be viewed as at odds with previous reports by us and others of a significantly higher risk of MI among men with the c.454-397CC genotype (PP of PvuII).2,3 We aimed to clarify whether the CC genotype at ESR1 c.454-397T>C is associated with increased odds of nonfatal MI among men.

    Materials and Methods

    We included only cohorts of white men not recruited on the basis of coronary heart disease risk factors (Table I in the online data supplement, available at http://circres.ahajournals.org). We studied men from the prospective population-based Second Northwick Park Heart Study (NPHSII) in the United Kingdom4 and 2 case-control studies of MI from Poland and the United States, selected from the Global Repository at Genomics Collaborative.5 Here we present a metaanalysis of the results of these studies and published results from the Framingham3 and Rotterdam Studies1: a total of more than 7000 men with detailed covariate information, including 731 men with acute, nonfatal MI. We also carried out analyses of total MI, including 47 fatal MIs in NPHSII and the Rotterdam Study, and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in the 3 prospective studies. Unless specified, odds ratios (ORs) are from a fixed effects model, adjusted for age, body mass index, serum total cholesterol level, hypertension, diabetes, and smoking status.

    Results

    The mean (SD) values for age (supplemental Table I), body mass index, and total cholesterol level, as well as the prevalence of current smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were not significantly different by genotype. Comparing men with the ESR1 c.454-397CC genotype with those with CT or TT genotypes, pooled OR=1.44 (95% CI, 1.17 to 1.76; P<0.0001) for MI (Figure). Power was low for detection of an association with fatal MI, with 20% power to detect an effect of the size seen in the nonfatal MIs. Of 47 fatal MIs, only 4 (8.5%) had an ESR1 c.454-397CC genotype. When fatal MIs were included in the Rotterdam and NPHSII analyses, the ORs for total MI were 1.11 (95% CI, 0.72 to 1.71) and 1.23 (95% CI, 0.83 to 1.82), respectively, with the pooled OR 1.31 (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.59; P=0.008). After exclusion of total MI, the combined IHD result from the 3 prospective studies was not significant, pooled OR=0.90 (95% CI: 0.62 to 1.32; P=0.62). Almost identical results were obtained from analyses that were either adjusted or unadjusted. Using the fixed effects OR for nonfatal MI as the estimate of relative risk, the population-attributable risk was 6.4%. The test for heterogeneity was not significant (P>0.05) for any analysis. Results were still significant after exclusion of the Framingham Heart Study data that contributed the highest OR, with a pooled OR of 1.31 (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.62; P=0.015). Suggestive evidence of heterogeneity in the initial metaanalysis of the nonfatal MIs (P=0.07) was not present when the Framingham cohort or younger case-control subjects (where we found evidence of interaction between age and genotype in association with risk of MI; Figure) were excluded. There was interaction between age (>60 or <60 years) and genotype with respect to risk of MI in the Polish case-control study (P=0.05). ORs=2.11 (95% CI, 1.12 to 3.98; P=0.02) in the older and 0.95 (95% CI 0.59 to 1.53; P=0.83) in the younger subgroups. There was a similar trend in the US case-control study, the respective ORs being 1.59 (95% CI, 0.95 to 2.67; P=0.08) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.48 to 1.65; P=0.73), but here the interaction term was not significant (P=0.16). By contrast, there was no evidence for similar interaction in any of the 3 prospective studies. When the 5 studies were each subdivided by age (study-specific mean age of event in the case-control studies and study-specific mean baseline age in the prospective studies), metaanalysis restricted to the older or younger subgroup of each cohort gave OR=1.58 (95% CI 1.19 to 2.10; P=0.002) and 1.22 (95% CI 0.92 to 1.62; P=0.17), respectively. Justified by these findings, metaanalysis excluding the younger case-control subgroups gave OR=1.63 (95% CI 1.29 to 2.07; P<0.0001).

    Genotype CC of ESR1 c.454-397T>C and nonfatal myocardial infarction in men from 5 studies. Within each panel the size of the shaded box is proportional to the precision of the estimate for the study. In the prospective studies mean age (SD) for baseline to follow-up examinations were 36 (10) to 59 (10) years for Framingham, 68 (3) to 75 (8) for Rotterdam, and 56 (3) to 67 (4) for Northwick Park; in the case–control studies mean ages were 64 (11) for GCI-USA and 58 (10) for GCI-Poland.

    Discussion

    Sixty-eight percent of the weight of our model for nonfatal MI is derived from previously unstudied cohorts, making it unlikely that our results have been affected by publication bias. Our findings also show consistency across 5 white cohorts from 4 countries, providing additional evidence that the association is real and not attributable to population stratification or a context dependent factor.6 There was wide variability in participant age across the 5 studies, and we obtained evidence that the association we report may be affected by subject age. That a time window of maximum effect exists for this ESR1 genotype (which may itself vary with characteristics such as ethnicity, diet, estrogen levels, and established risk factors for MI) would be compatible with previous results and recent negative findings from an MI case-control study of men with mean age in the early sixties (SD 12 years),7 and should be tested in other populations including studies of hormone replacement therapy.8 Fatality for MI may potentially be affected by ESR1 variation and the 2 case-control studies recruited only survivors of MI. Therefore, only nonfatal cardiovascular events were initially included in this metaanalysis. Secondary analyses including 47 fatal MIs provided results that were significant; however, only 8.5% of subjects with a fatal MI had an ESR1 c.454-397CC genotype. Although not statistically significant, there was a trend toward decreased risk of fatal MI in subjects with c.454-397CC genotype, in both studies that included such events. Although this initially appears to be at odds with the findings for nonfatal MIs, results from women in the Rotterdam Study1 included higher mortality in the year after IHD among women without c.454-397CC genotype. This is consistent with the highest OR being from the Framingham Study, where survival for blood sampling at the sixth examination cycle, almost 3 decades after the start of the study, was required for inclusion and might, in part, underlie the results we observe for nonfatal MIs. A genetic basis for increased risk of fatality among older subjects might be a reason for the observed interaction with age. Further studies of fatal MI are required to resolve whether the impact of the c.454-397CC genotype on nonfatal events differs from that on fatal events.1–3

    Estrogen receptors are required for normal vascular physiology in males,9 although the underlying mechanisms are not clear. Several studies suggest that c.454-397C is within a potential transcription factor binding site and results in a relatively high level of ESR1 transcription as compared with c.454-397T.1,10 A study of postmenopausal women reported that c.454-397CC genotype was associated with more severe atherosclerosis at baseline than in other genotypes but progressed more slowly in response to hormone-replacement therapy.11 The alleles of a polymorphic TA repeat, in the ESR1 promoter, in strong linkage disequilibrium with c.454-397C, have been associated with more severely narrowed coronary arteries, larger areas of complicated lesions, and lower adenosine-stimulated myocardial blood flow.12–14 A more comprehensive evaluation of ESR1 is required to determine the mechanism(s) underlying these observed associations.

    Our results add substantially to recent evidence that a mechanism based on ESR1 variation contributes to a range of important estrogen-dependent characteristics, including responses of the lipid profile to hormone replacement therapy and risk of fracture.15,16

    For nonfatal MI events in the populations included in this study, the population risk attributable to the ESR1 c.454-397CC genotype was 6.4%, which would correspond among US men17 to approximately 25 000 of such events each year and incur substantial hospital and medical expenses.

    Acknowledgments

    Support was from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (Tufts–New England Medical Center Specialized Center of Research in Ischemic Heart Disease, P50-HL63494; the Framingham Heart Study contract N01-HC-25195; RO1-HL65230; HL-33014; and HL-54502), the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research under the Research Institute for Diseases in the Elderly (grant 014-90-001), the Dutch Research Organization NWO (RIDE grant 14-93-015), the European Commission ("GENOMOS"; QLK6-CT-2002-02629), the UK Medical Research Council, the British Heart Foundation (RG 2000/015), and Du Pont Pharma, Wilmington, Del. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute reviewed the manuscript for scientific content and consistency of data interpretation with previous Framingham publications. We are indebted to all those who participated in the studies and thank the anonymous reviewers for helpful suggestions.

    Footnotes

    Sera Care Life Science employed K.G.A., K.I., B.J., and K.L.L. and donated the DNA samples and data from the case control studies free of charge. M.E.M. had minor speakers bureau appointments at Wyeth and Merck and honoraria for academic talks. D.E.H., D.L., M.E.M., and A.M.S. were named on a patent application filed through the Massachusetts Institute of Technology technology licensing office for medical uses related to estrogen receptor gene variation.

    Original received November 15, 2004; first resubmission received January 3, 2005; revised first resubmission received February 7, 2005; second resubmission received November 15, 2005; revised second resubmission received December 15, 2005; accepted February 3. 2006.

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