上海市原静安区成人流感样病例就诊百分比预测的自回归求和滑动平均模型构建与应用(2)
Conclusion The ARIMA model can well fit the time-change trend of the hospital-visiting percentage of adult ILI of Jing-an District and can be used to forecast the hospital-visiting percentage of adult ILI while ensuring relatively high accuracy of short-term forecasts.Keywords： ARIMA model； adult influenza-like illness； hospital-visiting percentage； forecast
流感样病例(influenza-like illness， ILI)是指体温高于38℃，同时伴有咽痛或咳嗽 ......
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